The PMIs knock the Stock Markets: No view of reversing the downward trend

European markets in red this Friday -Ibex 35, CAC 40, DAX…- in a frenetic week of central banks, which have confirmed their super hawkish strategy and with the publication today in the Eurozone, Germany, France, the United Kingdom and the United States of the preliminary readings for September of the advanced activity indices for the manufacturing and services sectors, the PMIs prepared by the consulting firm S&P Global.

“These indicators confirm that private activity in all these countries has continued to slow in September,” they point out in Link Securities.

“They give us a good idea of ​​the degree of slowdown in the economic cycle, and where we expect some stability in the US in manufacturing and improvement in services, while the deterioration continues in Europe in both components, after yesterday seeing a new historical low in consumer confidence in the Eurozone”, stand out in Renta 4 (BME:RTA4).

“Declining PMI and complex electoral result in Italy on Sunday are obstacles to overcome. It is doubtful that stock markets will stabilize. If we look at next week, new generalized rises in inflation and macro deterioration continue without giving cause for optimism in the short term”, they point out in Bankinter (BME: BKT).

“In the short term, we do not see catalysts that could reverse the underlying downward trend that the European and US stock markets have adopted since the middle of last August, which may lead the indices to retest their minimum levels of the year. , something that indices such as the German Dax, the Spanish Ibex 35 and the US Dow Jones are very close to doing”, they highlight in Link Securities.

“However, we do not rule out occasional upturns in the markets, as a result of the high level of overselling that many stocks and indices present,” these experts conclude.

Today, October 7, 2019, the data of the factory orders from Germany, corresponding to September, have been published. The data Read more

Today, construction data has been published in Canada. The published data on construction permits (+ 6'1%) and new housing constructions Read more

The JOLTs survey corresponding to the month of September 2019 has been published today. The job offers and staff turnover Read more

Data published today for China's foreign trade in September show a decline. Imports fell 8.5% and imports fell 3.2%. These Read more

I found this CNN article in Spanish, in my opinion very successful that I repeat here and talk about second Read more

The economic data corresponding to retail sales have just been published in September in the US, -0.3% monthly. Bad data, Read more

The commercial activity of the euro zone barely grew in October because demand declined, according to a survey published on Read more

Slight decrease in consumer confidence in the United States. Citizens begin to hear that there are problems, even so the Read more

Today the Markit composite PMI data has been published in the euro zone, the 50.6 data is better than expected Read more

German industrial production fell more than expected in September, according to data published on Thursday, which points to a persistent Read more

Leave a Reply